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- CINEMA, Page 56If It Worked Before, Do It Again
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- The summer's movies go for a knockout but settle for a TKO
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- By RICHARD CORLISS -- With reporting by Nancy Newman/New York
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- Every year when Americans celebrate Memorial Day, Hollywood
- launches its summer star wars. The big studios trot out their
- big names -- tough guys with flinty stares and handsome hair
- -- to swagger through apocalyptic fantasies. See cars blow up!
- See Mars blow up! See budgets and salaries go up! See the
- movies do anything but grow up, as long as moviegoers pay for
- the ride. Summer's here, and the time is right for filling up
- the seats.
-
- Last year for the first time the summer box-office revenue
- topped $2 billion. The surge was led by Batman, which cost $50
- million to produce but brought in $251 million at the domestic
- wickets to rank as the fourth all-time movie hit. Not far
- behind -- at $197 million, ninth on the all-time list -- was
- Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade, a gilt-edged sequel. These
- successes seemed to validate the rules that Hollywood likes to
- play by: bet big to win big; and if it worked before, do it
- again.
-
- So this year the moguls spent $55 million to send Tom Cruise
- around a racetrack in Days of Thunder, $65 million to launch
- Arnold Schwarzenegger into outer space for Total Recall, $70
- million to help Bruce Willis save a besieged airport in Die
- Hard 2. The industry would pay any price, detonate any
- explosion, inflate any body count to meet its megahit
- expectations.
-
- So far, Gold Rush II hasn't quite happened. Nobody will go
- broke; some actors, directors and producers are raking in fees
- that would make Jose Canseco envious. But the ticket lines are
- shorter. Variety's Art Murphy, grand statmaster of movie
- grosses, projects this summer's take as $1.85 billion, down 9%
- from last year's. Total Recall has already earned more than
- $105 million, and Dick Tracy and Die Hard 2 could earn that and
- more before Labor Day. But other pictures have already started
- to run out of steam, especially pricey sequels like Another 48
- Hrs., RoboCop 2, Gremlins 2: The New Batch and Back to the
- Future, Part III.
-
- Audiences are queuing up each weekend for the new
- blockbuster, then spurning it for next week's thrill machine.
- Why? Because, with minor variations, each film is the same
- film; each is a sequel to the others. They offer the same kinds
- of villains (terrorists and corporate thugs), the same
- spectacular stuntmanship, the same jolts within the narrowest
- band of Hollywood entertainment. They are fables about little
- boys with big toys. Feel-good is not the feeling; these are
- workout pictures that, taken in large doses, wear the moviegoer
- out. Viewers don't get massaged, they get rolfed. And because
- the films finally blur together, none may have the "legs," the
- staying power, of last summer's hits.
-
- Or even of this spring's. March is normally a sluggish month
- at the box office, but this year three films -- Pretty Woman,
- Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles and The Hunt for Red October --
- each pulled in summer-worthy figures of well over $100 million.
- Disney's Pretty Woman, an airhead Cinderella comedy that speaks
- to every man's dream of buying a beautiful woman and every
- woman's fantasy of a Rodeo Drive shopping spree, is near $160
- million and still going strong. It stands a good chance of
- becoming the first film since Blazing Saddles in 1974 to win the
- year's box-office race without having been released in the
- summer or Christmas seasons. "It's out of date," says Jeffrey
- Katzenberg, chairman of the Walt Disney Studios, "this idea
- that there are 12 golden weeks of summer and two golden weeks
- of winter. We are now a 52-weeks-a-year business."
-
- This year business executives must look to midsummer
- releases for a word-of-mouth smash. If nearly all the June
- movies could be called Total Recall (so reminiscent are they
- of previous action hits), the films of July and August could
- be labeled Presumed Interesting. Moviegoers are looking for
- something different, and they may have already found it in the
- postmortem romantic thriller Ghost or the eye-spider horror
- comedy Arachnophobia. Presumed Innocent hopes to corner the
- serious market. Even David Lynch is invading summertime with
- his bizarro-world Wild at Heart. Each hopes to duplicate the
- surprise-hit status of last summer's When Harry Met Sally, Dead
- Poets Society, Parenthood and Honey, I Shrunk the Kids.
-
- But does it matter whether they ring up gigantic grosses at
- the U.S. box office? Not really, because the biggest business
- is elsewhere. "The film theater is very visible," says
- Variety's Murphy. "It is the launch pad, and the big hit there
- is the big hit in all markets -- in videocassettes, in pay,
- cable, network and syndicated TV, and in all those markets
- around the world." Murphy notes that 10 years ago, theater
- grosses represented 80% of worldwide revenues; today they are
- only 30%. "And even taking out inflation, 30% of the 1990 pie
- is bigger than 80% of the 1980 pie." So there is less riding on
- the weekly theatrical tally. A film's main job is to establish
- itself as something the public wants to consume in the future,
- where the real money is. This long shelf life can persuade a
- studio to pay $3 million for a screenplay and $20 million to
- a star like Sylvester Stallone. "These artists get so much,"
- says Murphy, "because their agents know there is home video in
- Borneo and it's coming to Singapore."
-
- Moviegoers, of course, don't pay for the cost of a movie.
- They are as likely to spurn a megamovie as they are to embrace
- a pinchpenny picture like Ninja Turtles. But for now, moguls
- are willing to believe that the VCR revolution has made the
- movie industry slump-proof; 1990 may not match last summer, but
- it should still be the second biggest-grossing summer ever. And
- viewers may dare to hope that amid the bigger bangs for bigger
- bucks, Hollywood doesn't forget how to make good movies.
-
-
- ____________________________________________________________ A
- TALE OF TWO SUMMERS
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- [Box-office gross, in millions.]
-
- 1989, Total As of 7/16/89
-
- Batman $251.1 $168
- Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade
- $197.0 $166 Lethal Weapon 2
- $147.0 $49 Honey, I Shrunk the Kids
- $130.1 $75 Ghostbusters II
- $111.9 $93
-
- 1990, Est. As of 7/15/90
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- Total Recall $130 $105
- Die Hard 2 $130 $61
- Dick Tracy $125 $90
- Another 48 Hrs. $85 $71 Days
- of Thunder $80 $54
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